Author Archives: jimsullivan92

First Lake Effect of Season This Weekend

Quick summary of my thoughts on potential lake effect snow downwind of most Great Lakes this weekend: Off of Lake Superior, I’m thinking that winds changing through the event will keep accumulations under control. A little trough drops south across … Continue reading

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10/1/15 Early AM: Joaquin to Pillage Bahamas; East Coast Landfall Probability has Decreased, but Still Possible

Disclaimer: The thoughts expressed in this post are mine alone, and in making any life or death decisions be sure to consult the National Hurricane Center, your local National Weather Service, and heed advice from your local authorities and emergency … Continue reading

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9/29/15: All Eyes on Joaquin

Disclaimer: The thoughts expressed in this post are mine alone, and in making any life or death decisions be sure to consult the National Hurricane Center, your local National Weather Service, and heed advice from your local authorities and emergency … Continue reading

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Significant Lake Effect Rain This Weekend

I’ll be home this weekend and the Indians are playing the Tigers in Cleveland, so of course it will rain!! General Summary: An unseasonably cold airmass will move into the Great Lakes this weekend. A low pressure system tracking to … Continue reading

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8/27/15: Forecast for Erika Continues to be Extremely Complicated in Both Short & Long Term

General discussion: A very disorganized Tropical Storm Erika will pass near or over Puerto Rico tonight into Friday morning and near or over the Dominican Republic on Friday. Exactly how close Erika passes to Hispaniola will have a large impact … Continue reading

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Tough Road Ahead for Tropical Storm Erika; Still “Something to Watch” for Bahamas, Florida, Southeast and Gulf Coast

General Discussion: Remember to consult the National Hurricane Center, your local National Weather Service Office, and heed advice from local emergency management officials when making decisions regarding Tropical Storms/Hurricanes. National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov National Weather Service: http://www.weather.gov Tropical Storm Erika … Continue reading

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6/27/15 OH Severe

For record keeping purposes, here is a discussion I created at 11:30PM on 6/26/15 for in-house Neoweather viewing regarding Saturday’s severe potential in eastern Ohio With water vapor imagery showing the trough associated with our storm beginning to slow down … Continue reading

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June 22nd, 2015 Severe Weather Threat

A regional severe weather event/potentially outbreak is likely on Monday across parts of the Upper Mississippi Valley east into the Great Lakes. All modes of severe weather will be possible, however, uncertainty mainly regarding ongoing convection remains in this forecast. … Continue reading

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Sunday-Monday Midwest/Great Lakes/Ohio Valley Severe Threat

For record keeping purposes, here is a post I made on an online weather forum regarding the upcoming severe threat. Just from an ingredients based perspective, I’d have to think there’s pretty good potential in the sub-forum Monday-Monday night. Fairly … Continue reading

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6/7/15 Severe Threat in Ohio

Not at all a straight forward severe forecast as moisture return/instability issues and timing of better upper level dynamics are both marginal for Ohio. Two upper level jet streaks evident on water vapor imagery…one over the Four Corners region ejecting … Continue reading

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