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Category Archives: Storm Forecasts
December 2nd-3rd Lake Enhanced Rain/Snow Event
Accumulation map. Confidence: Lower than preferable Although I’m not sure how much snow ultimately falls due to marginal temperatures, we’ve had a slow start to the LES season in NE Ohio, so I’m going to do a write up on … Continue reading
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11/22/15 Lake Effect Final Call
I *finally* got around to putting numbers on my map and tweaking things. Unfortunately, I definitely had to lower amounts from my initial thinking. The models all converged on a solution that was weaker with the storm, which allowed drier … Continue reading
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November 22nd Lake Effect Snow Event
THE TIME HAS COME! For the first time this fall, we are looking at the potential for a decent lake effect snow event in Northeastern Ohio late Saturday night through Sunday night. A fairly potent low pressure will track northeast … Continue reading
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11/14/15 Long Range: Thanksgiving Week Cooldown Idea Gaining Steam
Model images in this post came from: weatherbell.com, tropicaltidbits.com, weather.cod.edu, instantweathermaps.com and the University of Berlin’s Atmospheric Diagnostics website. A brief cool down is occurring in the Northeast US, with some lake effect snow, after another good shot of mild … Continue reading
1/24/15: Major, Potentially Crippling Storm Looking Increasingly Likely for Parts of East Coast
Please click on images for full size. A strong clipper system (due to its origins, is known as a “Manitoba Mauler”) will move through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys on Sunday, producing snows. The clipper will move off the Carolina … Continue reading
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1/24/15: BEHIND THE FORECAST: Sunday’s Snow (Ohio)
A potent piece of energy in the jet stream has moved into British Columbia Friday evening. This energy will dive southeast into the High Plains and move southeast through the Ohio Valley as a “clipper” type system, bringing a swath … Continue reading
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1/23/15: Parade of East Coast Storms; Cold Start to February
A large number of the model images used in this post can be found at tropicaltidbits.com It’s been a fairly busy week along the East Coast of the US, with one low pressure system on Sunday bringing disruptive freezing rain … Continue reading
Lake Effect Snow 1/6 to 1/8/15 for NE Ohio
Brief summary: A west to WSW wind will develop Tuesday evening ahead of an arctic front. At the same time, moisture and instability over Lake Erie will increase. This should allow a band of snow to form along the eastern … Continue reading
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Arthur Will Impact Carolinas as a Hurricane Thursday and Friday; Potential Graze Job for New England
The thoughts in this blog are mine and shouldn’t be used to make any important decisions. You can find official forecasts from the hurricane center, along with watch/warning info, at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov Tropical Storm Arthur has continued to gradually intensify on … Continue reading
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Arthur Likely to Become a Hurricane off Southeastern US Coastline
In yesterday’s post about (then) Invest 91L, I discussed what would need to occur for what is now known as Tropical Storm Arthur to potentially intensify to hurricane intensity later this week. It is looking very likely that this will … Continue reading
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Ramblings of Meteorologist Jim Sullivan 