Author Archives: jimsullivan92

Quick Thoughts on November 11-12 Ohio Snowfall

Don’t have time write now for a super long write-up, but here are some quick thoughts…first the maps… The thinking for NE Ohio is 1-2″ of synoptic snow near the lake and 2-4″ inland, highest in the hills. Temperatures marginal … Continue reading

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Final Thoughts on Thursday-Friday Snowfall in Northern Ohio into Northwest Pennsylvania

First, the maps…the nice one I posted on my FB page: I don’t have a nicer template that includes all of NW PA, but here’s a rough sketch: And now an overly detailed analysis… Synoptic rain / snow late Thursday … Continue reading

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Early Thoughts on Thursday Night – Friday Lake Effect Snow off of Lake Erie

It seems that a brief period of light synoptic snow is fairly likely for most of northeastern Ohio Thursday afternoon. It probably struggles to stick in most areas, but some hilly areas may see a slushy coating. As for lake … Continue reading

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Winter 2019-2020 Forecast Thoughts, A Technical Discussion

These maps have been released publicly via video, so I’ll go ahead and post them here to go along with a more technical explanation and commentary on what I’m thinking and where I’m most worried: Temperatures (December-February): Precipitation (December-February): Snowfall … Continue reading

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Mid September, 2019 Winter Analog Notes

I posted this the second week of September on a couple of forums, just posting it here for the record/reference later… Playing with some analogs right now…here are some analogs, discussion, and caveats, focused mainly on the U.S….FWIW, my temp … Continue reading

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8/27/19: The Uncertain Case of Where Dorian Goes, how Strong it Gets

(When dealing with tropical cyclones and other adverse weather, always follow the advice of local officials for your safety) Dorian, a sputtering Tropical Storm between the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico over the eastern Caribbean that has its eyes set … Continue reading

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Updated Thinking on This Weekend’s Lake Erie Lake Effect Snow

Updated thinking on the lake effect tonight through early Sunday off of Lake Erie… A band will ramp up over the lake this evening by 7 or 8 PM as the first of a few troughs pushes across the lake.  … Continue reading

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