Author Archives: jimsullivan92

Active Sub-Tropical Jet Brings Interesting Snow Potential Late January

The pattern may not be record cold with a KU threat every 4 days, but there’s some interesting potential over the next two weeks, with 4 things to keep an eye on after this weekend’s sloppy system. Threat 1: Tuesday/Wednesday … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Technical Long Range Discussion: Gradual Cooler Trend early-mid January

Quick Summary: The very mild pattern that has developed to end December will slowly transition to a colder pattern through the first half of January…however, a positive AO and EPO, with a lobe of the polar vortex settling over Alaska … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Technical Discussion: Trending Mild for December; Big Cold Looming for January and February?

This is going to be a long post discussing my analogs that I finally got around to updating along with how the next several weeks may play out…and attempting to tie those things together. We’ll start with the analogs…after weighing … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

November 20, 2019: Quick Thoughts on Next Few Weeks

A few quick thoughts here on the next 3ish weeks. After a pre-Thanksgiving cutter that will bring a warm-up to the Eastern U.S., what happens to open December seems to be up for debate. The ensembles agree on the potential … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Quick Thoughts on November 11-12 Ohio Snowfall

Don’t have time write now for a super long write-up, but here are some quick thoughts…first the maps… The thinking for NE Ohio is 1-2″ of synoptic snow near the lake and 2-4″ inland, highest in the hills. Temperatures marginal … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Final Thoughts on Thursday-Friday Snowfall in Northern Ohio into Northwest Pennsylvania

First, the maps…the nice one I posted on my FB page: I don’t have a nicer template that includes all of NW PA, but here’s a rough sketch: And now an overly detailed analysis… Synoptic rain / snow late Thursday … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Early Thoughts on Thursday Night – Friday Lake Effect Snow off of Lake Erie

It seems that a brief period of light synoptic snow is fairly likely for most of northeastern Ohio Thursday afternoon. It probably struggles to stick in most areas, but some hilly areas may see a slushy coating. As for lake … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment