Author Archives: jimsullivan92

I drew this map around 5 PM and this incorporates snow after that, so a bit of this has already fallen. Some reasoning: My thoughts on tonight haven’t changed much…the synoptic snow this evening is not that heavy or efficient, … Continue reading →

With a NE Ohio focus… Suppose I should post this before it starts snowing… With the 850mb low track still near or just west of Sandusky into western Lake Erie, expect the heaviest synoptic snows to fall in NW Ohio. … Continue reading →

The winter of continued failure continues as any promising signals constantly get muted as we try to pull them inside of day 10. In terms of snow from here on out, I think the Plains, Midwest, Great Lakes and perhaps … Continue reading →

The pattern may not be record cold with a KU threat every 4 days, but there’s some interesting potential over the next two weeks, with 4 things to keep an eye on after this weekend’s sloppy system. Threat 1: Tuesday/Wednesday … Continue reading →

Quick Summary: The very mild pattern that has developed to end December will slowly transition to a colder pattern through the first half of January…however, a positive AO and EPO, with a lobe of the polar vortex settling over Alaska … Continue reading →

This is going to be a long post discussing my analogs that I finally got around to updating along with how the next several weeks may play out…and attempting to tie those things together. We’ll start with the analogs…after weighing … Continue reading →

A few quick thoughts here on the next 3ish weeks. After a pre-Thanksgiving cutter that will bring a warm-up to the Eastern U.S., what happens to open December seems to be up for debate. The ensembles agree on the potential … Continue reading →

Don’t have time write now for a super long write-up, but here are some quick thoughts…first the maps… The thinking for NE Ohio is 1-2″ of synoptic snow near the lake and 2-4″ inland, highest in the hills. Temperatures marginal … Continue reading →

First, the maps…the nice one I posted on my FB page: I don’t have a nicer template that includes all of NW PA, but here’s a rough sketch: And now an overly detailed analysis… Synoptic rain / snow late Thursday … Continue reading →

It seems that a brief period of light synoptic snow is fairly likely for most of northeastern Ohio Thursday afternoon. It probably struggles to stick in most areas, but some hilly areas may see a slushy coating. As for lake … Continue reading →