Category Archives: Uncategorized

A few quick thoughts here on the next 3ish weeks. After a pre-Thanksgiving cutter that will bring a warm-up to the Eastern U.S., what happens to open December seems to be up for debate. The ensembles agree on the potential … Continue reading →

Don’t have time write now for a super long write-up, but here are some quick thoughts…first the maps… The thinking for NE Ohio is 1-2″ of synoptic snow near the lake and 2-4″ inland, highest in the hills. Temperatures marginal … Continue reading →

First, the maps…the nice one I posted on my FB page: I don’t have a nicer template that includes all of NW PA, but here’s a rough sketch: And now an overly detailed analysis… Synoptic rain / snow late Thursday … Continue reading →

It seems that a brief period of light synoptic snow is fairly likely for most of northeastern Ohio Thursday afternoon. It probably struggles to stick in most areas, but some hilly areas may see a slushy coating. As for lake … Continue reading →

These maps have been released publicly via video, so I’ll go ahead and post them here to go along with a more technical explanation and commentary on what I’m thinking and where I’m most worried: Temperatures (December-February): Precipitation (December-February): Snowfall … Continue reading →

I posted this the second week of September on a couple of forums, just posting it here for the record/reference later… Playing with some analogs right now…here are some analogs, discussion, and caveats, focused mainly on the U.S….FWIW, my temp … Continue reading →

(When dealing with tropical cyclones and other adverse weather, always follow the advice of local officials for your safety) Dorian, a sputtering Tropical Storm between the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico over the eastern Caribbean that has its eyes set … Continue reading →

Updated thinking on the lake effect tonight through early Sunday off of Lake Erie… A band will ramp up over the lake this evening by 7 or 8 PM as the first of a few troughs pushes across the lake.  … Continue reading →

Forgive the crude map…gets the point across: With the synoptic precip Friday morning temp profiles are close to supporting snow…there will be some dynamic cooling as lift is pretty good and the precip will be moderate, so the higher terrain … Continue reading →

Disclaimer: The thoughts in this post are only mine and don’t represent the thoughts of any other companies, groups, websites, or organizations.  They also shouldn’t be used for decision making in the impacted areas… The majority of the satellite and … Continue reading →