Category Archives: Uncategorized

Forecast accumulations: Detailed Forecast Discussion: A strengthening area of low pressure located just west of Cincinnati as of midnight will track northeast likely just south and east of Cleveland on Sunday while intensifying. There is currently a narrow zone of … Continue reading →

A pocket of arctic air beneath a deep upper level trough moving over the Great Lakes will set off lake effect snow Sunday through Monday downwind of Lake Erie. Upstream lake connections and synoptic moisture/lift will be key to where … Continue reading →

For some reason, I posted the forecast for this event as another page and not a post. Here’s the link to that page: https://ohwxramblings.wordpress.com/december-18-19-2015-lake-effect-snow-event/ Based on storm reports and some estimation based off of radar/terrain, here is my best guess … Continue reading →

For record keeping purposes, here is a post I made on Neoweather’s Facebook page this afternoon regarding the expected lake enhanced rain/snow tonight in NE Ohio An upper level low pressure combined with a trough of low pressure in the … Continue reading →

It was a very warm first week of November in the central and eastern US, with many record highs (including some monthly records) broken from Florida all the way up to Michigan. The weather pattern still isn’t a cold one, … Continue reading →

As we flip the calendar to November, many of the teleconnections are pointing to warmth in the eastern US and cooler conditions in the west. Lower than average heights over the North Pole are indicative of a +AO, with lower … Continue reading →

Definitely think there’s some interesting potential for a low CAPE/high shear severe weather event from portions of Ohio and West Virginia points east across Virginia, Pennsylvania, New York, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey and perhaps parts of New England late Wednesday … Continue reading →

Here is a look at my winter outlook for last year (along with links to previous outlooks): https://ohwxramblings.wordpress.com/2014/10/12/jim-sullivans-2014-2015-winter-outlook-for-the-us-and-southern-canada/ Maps and Brief Summary: This winter will be strongly affected by a very strong “El Nino” in the Tropical Pacific. This will … Continue reading →

Quick summary of my thoughts on potential lake effect snow downwind of most Great Lakes this weekend: Off of Lake Superior, I’m thinking that winds changing through the event will keep accumulations under control. A little trough drops south across … Continue reading →

Disclaimer: The thoughts expressed in this post are mine alone, and in making any life or death decisions be sure to consult the National Hurricane Center, your local National Weather Service, and heed advice from your local authorities and emergency … Continue reading →