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Author Archives: jimsullivan92
December 18-19 Lake Effect Post-Mortem
For some reason, I posted the forecast for this event as another page and not a post. Here’s the link to that page: https://ohwxramblings.wordpress.com/december-18-19-2015-lake-effect-snow-event/ Based on storm reports and some estimation based off of radar/terrain, here is my best guess … Continue reading
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12/2/15 Lake Enhanced Snow Post
For record keeping purposes, here is a post I made on Neoweather’s Facebook page this afternoon regarding the expected lake enhanced rain/snow tonight in NE Ohio An upper level low pressure combined with a trough of low pressure in the … Continue reading
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December 2nd-3rd Lake Enhanced Rain/Snow Event
Accumulation map. Confidence: Lower than preferable Although I’m not sure how much snow ultimately falls due to marginal temperatures, we’ve had a slow start to the LES season in NE Ohio, so I’m going to do a write up on … Continue reading
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11/22/15 Lake Effect Final Call
I *finally* got around to putting numbers on my map and tweaking things. Unfortunately, I definitely had to lower amounts from my initial thinking. The models all converged on a solution that was weaker with the storm, which allowed drier … Continue reading
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November 22nd Lake Effect Snow Event
THE TIME HAS COME! For the first time this fall, we are looking at the potential for a decent lake effect snow event in Northeastern Ohio late Saturday night through Sunday night. A fairly potent low pressure will track northeast … Continue reading
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11/14/15 Long Range: Thanksgiving Week Cooldown Idea Gaining Steam
Model images in this post came from: weatherbell.com, tropicaltidbits.com, weather.cod.edu, instantweathermaps.com and the University of Berlin’s Atmospheric Diagnostics website. A brief cool down is occurring in the Northeast US, with some lake effect snow, after another good shot of mild … Continue reading
11/8/15 Long Range: Early November Blow Torch is Over; Any True Cold Coming?
It was a very warm first week of November in the central and eastern US, with many record highs (including some monthly records) broken from Florida all the way up to Michigan. The weather pattern still isn’t a cold one, … Continue reading
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11/1/15: Warm Start to November
As we flip the calendar to November, many of the teleconnections are pointing to warmth in the eastern US and cooler conditions in the west. Lower than average heights over the North Pole are indicative of a +AO, with lower … Continue reading
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10/27/15: Quick Thoughts on Potential Wednesday Low Topped Severe Wx Event in Eastern US
Definitely think there’s some interesting potential for a low CAPE/high shear severe weather event from portions of Ohio and West Virginia points east across Virginia, Pennsylvania, New York, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey and perhaps parts of New England late Wednesday … Continue reading
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Jim Sullivan’s 2015-2016 Winter Outlook for the United States
Here is a look at my winter outlook for last year (along with links to previous outlooks): https://ohwxramblings.wordpress.com/2014/10/12/jim-sullivans-2014-2015-winter-outlook-for-the-us-and-southern-canada/ Maps and Brief Summary: This winter will be strongly affected by a very strong “El Nino” in the Tropical Pacific. This will … Continue reading
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Ramblings of Meteorologist Jim Sullivan 